Chris, analyst: After the US CPI was released, the US stock index futures once hit an intraday high, but the market reaction was still quite dull.MetLife and General Atlantic are planning to form a reinsurance joint venture. It is reported that MetLife and General Atlantic are forming a reinsurance joint venture, which is the latest trend that insurance companies and alternative fund management companies jointly improve the return on low-risk insurance assets. Chariot Reinsurance, the joint venture, will have an initial equity of more than $1 billion, with MetLife and General Atlantic Insurance each holding about 15%. In addition, the insurance company Chubb will also become one of the major investors in the joint venture. The joint venture will be established in the first half of 2025, led by Cynthia Smith, who recently served as the head of the regional welfare business of Metropolitan Insurance Group.Shuang Jie Electric: The controlling shareholder, actual controller and their concerted actions terminated the agreement to transfer part of the company's shares. Shuang Jie Electric announced that the controlling shareholder, actual controller Zhao Zhihong and their concerted actions Zhao Zhixing and Zhao Zhihao reached an agreement with Hangzhou Yingxin Enterprise Management Partnership (Limited Partnership) on the termination of the agreement to transfer part of the company's shares, and signed the Agreement on the Dissolution of the Share Transfer Agreement. According to the information previously disclosed, Zhao Zhihong, Zhao Zhixing and Zhao Zhihao intend to transfer 54 million shares of the company's unrestricted shares to Hangzhou Yingxin by agreement transfer, accounting for 6.76% of the company's total share capital. Due to the change of objective conditions, both parties decided to terminate the transfer of this share agreement, and they will not be liable for breach of contract.
Russian central bank survey: the average key interest rate in 2024 is expected to be 17.5%, compared with the previous forecast of 17.3%. The average key interest rate in 2025 is expected to be 21.3%, compared with the previous forecast of 18%.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.UN Secretary-General Guterres: I fully believe that the Syrian people can choose their own destiny.
The Baltic dry bulk freight index continued its decline, dragged down by the decline of all ship sectors. The Baltic dry bulk freight index continued its decline on Wednesday, hitting a 15-month low, dragged down by the decline of all ship types. The Baltic dry bulk freight index fell 50 points to 1106 points, the lowest level since September 2023. The freight index of capes dropped by 126 points to 1,377 points, also hitting the lowest level since September 2023. The average daily profit of Cape ships decreased by 1043 dollars to 11421 dollars. Panama shipping freight index fell 24 points to 1053 points. The average daily profit of Panamax decreased by 213 dollars to 9,478 dollars. The freight index of super-handy ships fell by 5 points to 962 points, the lowest level since August 2023.The core inflation in the United States remained stable, increasing by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month, and the CPI in the United States continued to rise in November, which aggravated people's concerns that the process of curbing inflation was stagnant. Data released on Wednesday showed that the core CPI excluding food and energy costs rose by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. Compared with a year ago, it has increased by 3.3%. After the data is released, it is still very likely that Fed policymakers will cut interest rates at next week's meeting. Although the price pressure has dropped from the peak during the pandemic recovery, the recent progress has stabilized. This, coupled with the fading concerns about the labor market, helps explain why several Fed officials advocate a more gradual rate cut.Institution: The global rapeseed production reduction made the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supported the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Chaotic Tiancheng Futures said that the excessive rapeseed import in the fourth quarter had supply pressure, the demand side was in the traditional consumption peak season and the low price difference between soybean oil and vegetable oil was conducive to vegetable oil consumption, which had short-term bottom support for vegetable oil. In the long run, the global rapeseed production reduction makes the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supports the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Nanhua futures believes that, on the whole, the supply sources and channels of vegetable oil are gradually weakened by the restrictions on rapeseed imports. At present, due to the excellent cost performance of soybean oil at the consumer end, vegetable oil will not consider the extra increment caused by the market competition between oils and fats except the seasonal increase in consumption in the short term. However, since the subsequent inventory of vegetable oil is still fluctuating at a high level, considering the possibility of seeking demand from the competitive price of soybean oil, there will be a clear reverse correlation between the subsequent inventory and consumption of vegetable oil, while the supply consideration is relatively constant and inflexible.